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Washington Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

Washington · WA · September 2026 · July 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate WA
Washington Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the Washington ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

193
facilities
18,781
licensed beds
78%
avg occupancy
67%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$384
Washington average daily rate
$368
statewide median

Washington carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $368 across 158 rated facilities, 82 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $347 and $400 a day. The distribution is tight, which usually means a cost-capped methodology holding most buildings in a band. Non-profit buildings run $81 a day above government ones ($420 against $339 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective July 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$334
25th$347
Median (50th)$368
75th$400
90th$435
Range $302 to $1,569 across 158 rated facilities; rates effective July 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 193 WA SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit1533.063.4446%25 / 35$9.4M
Non-Profit293.904.0742%0 / 11$850K
Government113.823.9142%0 / 4$172K

Washington skilled nursing is 79 percent for-profit by facility count: 153 of 193 buildings, averaging 3.06 stars overall and 3.44 on staffing. The balance is 29 non-profit, 11 government. Non-Profit buildings rate highest at 3.90 stars and for-profit lowest at 3.06. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
36%
rated one or two stars
6
special focus / candidate

Washington averages 3.23 stars overall across 193 facilities and 18,781 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 78 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 69 facilities (36 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 25 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 6 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $10.4M across 118 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 45.4 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 129 of 193 buildings show a distress signal, 67 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
King475,097
Pierce212,333
Snohomish171,607
Spokane161,600
Yakima11974
Kitsap91,036
Clark8744
Whatcom8674
Market Structure
51%
run by the eight largest groups
49%
run by everyone else

The eight largest operating groups run 99 of Washington's 193 skilled nursing facilities, 51 percent of the state and 53 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 94 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
33,780
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
45
reporting hospitals

Washington's 45 reporting hospitals discharged at least 33,780 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 12,208 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis12,208
Heart failure5,334
Stroke3,209
Respiratory infection2,709
Kidney failure2,665
Pneumonia2,411
Urinary tract infection2,132
Hip & femur surgery1,869
Hip & knee replacement870
COPD373
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
MULTICARE GOOD SAMARITAN HOSPITAL · PUYALLUP1,83923.0%
KADLEC REGIONAL MEDICAL CENTER · RICHLAND1,75120.3%
ST MICHAEL MEDICAL CENTER · SILVERDALE1,56217.3%
TACOMA GENERAL ALLENMORE HOSPITAL · TACOMA1,38924.4%
UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON MEDICAL CTR · SEATTLE1,36220.2%
PROVIDENCE REGIONAL MEDICAL CENTER EVERETT · EVERETT1,35020.1%
PROVIDENCE ST PETER HOSPITAL · OLYMPIA1,32519.9%
PEACEHEALTH ST JOSEPH MEDICAL CENTER · BELLINGHAM1,30121.9%
PROV SACRED HRT MED CTR & CHILDS HOSP. · SPOKANE1,26220.4%
EVERGREENHEALTH MEDICAL CENTER · KIRKLAND1,20121.9%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
64%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.3%
average cut across the graded set

117 of Washington's 182 graded skilled nursing facilities (64%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.3% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
49.9%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 49.9% of Washington's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 4.8 points in three years. Cowlitz County runs highest in the state at 67.8%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Cowlitz County67.8%
Clark County67.4%
Snohomish County59.9%
Spokane County57.4%
Lewis County56.8%
King County53.8%
Thurston County53.0%
Pierce County52.1%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: King County with 47 facilities and 5,097 beds, Pierce County with 21 facilities and 2,333 beds, Snohomish County with 17 facilities and 1,607 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
In effect
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Staffing floors bind hardest on buildings already below the state average on hours per resident, which is where distressed sales start.
Federal: Reimbursement (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Jul 2026)
Two recent reports find that Medicare Advantage organizations deny prior authorization requests for long-term care hospital, inpatient rehabilitation hospital, and skilled nursing facility stays at higher rates than requests overall. When these decisions are appealed, they are frequently overturned, particularly for skilled nursing facility stays. This may cause delays for Medicare beneficiaries who are particularly
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Sep 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Active / watch
Washington: State Budget (Jan 2026)
Delaying the rebasing of the nursing home payment rates to 2028. Last action: Referred to Appropriations. (2026-01-12)
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
Rescinded
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Jul 2026)
Amid changes to federal oversight of nursing homes during the Trump administration -- including rescinding the nursing home staffing rule issued by the Biden administration, prioritizing inspections that are triggered by complaints over routine inspections, and suspending the deadline to report detailed ownership information -- this issue brief provides an overview of the nursing home inspection process and the types
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. Washington published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 158 rated facilities, effective July 2026. A further 7 facilities are excluded from the rate figures: the published file carries conflicting rates against those buildings on the same effective date, so we report no rate rather than pick one.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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