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New Hampshire Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

New Hampshire · NH · September 2026 · January 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate NH
New Hampshire Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the New Hampshire ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

73
facilities
7,326
licensed beds
80%
avg occupancy
56%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$266
New Hampshire average daily rate
$265
statewide median

New Hampshire carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $265 across 56 rated facilities, 77 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $250 and $271 a day. The distribution is tight, which usually means a cost-capped methodology holding most buildings in a band. For-profit buildings run $15 a day above government ones ($265 against $250 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective January 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$242
25th$250
Median (50th)$265
75th$271
90th$297
Range $209 to $321 across 56 rated facilities; rates effective January 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 73 NH SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit452.612.6545%10 / 4$486K
Non-Profit163.504.2046%2 / 5$45K
Government123.674.4237%0 / 3$32K

New Hampshire skilled nursing is 62 percent for-profit by facility count: 45 of 73 buildings, averaging 2.61 stars overall and 2.65 on staffing. The balance is 16 non-profit, 12 government. Government buildings rate highest at 3.67 stars and for-profit lowest at 2.61. The 12 government-owned buildings are a structural feature worth reading carefully: in most states these are county or hospital-district arrangements in which a public body holds the license while the real estate sits with a private party. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
44%
rated one or two stars
6
special focus / candidate

New Hampshire averages 2.99 stars overall across 73 facilities and 7,326 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 80 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 32 facilities (44 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 12 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 6 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $563K across 22 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 44.1 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 41 of 73 buildings show a distress signal, 56 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Hillsborough212,236
Rockingham121,117
Merrimack7900
Cheshire7541
Strafford6598
Grafton5547
Coos5420
Belknap4396
Market Structure
40%
run by the four largest groups
60%
run by everyone else

The four largest operating groups run 29 of New Hampshire's 73 skilled nursing facilities, 40 percent of the state and 33 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 44 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
10,613
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
13
reporting hospitals

New Hampshire's 13 reporting hospitals discharged at least 10,613 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 3,166 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis3,166
Heart failure1,746
Pneumonia1,142
Respiratory infection1,136
Stroke852
Urinary tract infection809
Kidney failure719
Hip & femur surgery537
Hip & knee replacement279
COPD227
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
CONCORD HOSPITAL · CONCORD1,26623.9%
ELLIOT HOSPITAL · MANCHESTER1,18421.0%
WENTWORTH-DOUGLASS HOSPITAL · DOVER1,15621.5%
MARY HITCHCOCK MEMORIAL HOSPITAL · LEBANON1,12821.1%
PORTSMOUTH REGIONAL HOSPITAL · PORTSMOUTH93222.7%
CATHOLIC MEDICAL CENTER · MANCHESTER90824.1%
SOUTHERN NH MEDICAL CENTER · NASHUA80623.7%
EXETER HOSPITAL INC · EXETER75622.1%
ST JOSEPH HOSPITAL · NASHUA70721.2%
CONCORD HOSPITAL- LACONIA · LACONIA60021.6%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
75%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.8%
average cut across the graded set

51 of New Hampshire's 68 graded skilled nursing facilities (75%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.8% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
31.4%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 31.4% of New Hampshire's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is down 1.3 points in three years. Merrimack County runs highest in the state at 37.3%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Merrimack County37.3%
Strafford County36.2%
Hillsborough County35.3%
Belknap County34.2%
Coos County32.9%
Rockingham County31.5%
Cheshire County26.0%
Grafton County22.5%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Hillsborough County with 21 facilities and 2,236 beds, Rockingham County with 12 facilities and 1,117 beds, Merrimack County with 7 facilities and 900 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
In effect
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Staffing floors bind hardest on buildings already below the state average on hours per resident, which is where distressed sales start.
Federal: Reimbursement (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Active / watch
New Hampshire: Medicaid Rate (Feb 2026)
Facing post-H.R. 1 budget strain, states moved on SNF Medicaid rates entering FY2026: Idaho enacted a 4% across-the-board provider rate cut and Colorado reversed a 1.6% increase, while some New Hampshire homes report >9% losses in per-resident funding. AHCA survey data warns that 58% of providers would cut staff if federal Medicaid funding falls.
Operator implication: Reimbursement is the single largest line in a nursing facility's revenue, so a rate move of any size resets valuation across the whole state.
New Hampshire: Staffing Mandate (Feb 2026)
Relative to minimum nursing home staffing standards. Last action: Minority Committee Report: Refer for Interim Study (2026-02-25)
Operator implication: Staffing floors bind hardest on buildings already below the state average on hours per resident, which is where distressed sales start.
New Hampshire: State Budget (Aug 2026)
Relative to the penalty for false reports of suspected abuse and neglect made to the division for children, youth, and families, relative to owner's project manager services for school building aid projects, and relative to long-term care eligibility and making an appropriation therefor. Last action: Veto Sustained 08/19/2026: Regular Calendar 168-140 Lacking Necessary Two-Thirds Vote House Journal 16 (2026-08-19)
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
New Hampshire: State Budget (Apr 2026)
Relative to long-term care eligibility and making an appropriation therefor. Last action: Inexpedient to Legislate: Motion Adopted Regular Calendar 182-154 04/23/2026 House Journal 11 P. 56 (2026-04-23)
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
If a county-level New Hampshire breakdown, or the ownership and capital-structure detail behind any facility in it, would be useful, a short confidential conversation is the fastest way to get it. There is no cost and no obligation, and the buyer you select covers our fee.
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. New Hampshire published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 56 rated facilities, effective January 2026.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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