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Mississippi Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

Mississippi · MS · September 2026 · July 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate MS
Mississippi Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the Mississippi ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

202
facilities
17,496
licensed beds
85%
avg occupancy
66%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$285
Mississippi average daily rate
$286
statewide median

Mississippi carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $286 across 149 rated facilities, 74 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $264 and $306 a day. The distribution is tight, which usually means a cost-capped methodology holding most buildings in a band. Non-profit buildings run $22 a day above for-profit ones ($306 against $284 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective July 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$248
25th$264
Median (50th)$286
75th$306
90th$322
Range $208 to $349 across 149 rated facilities; rates effective July 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 202 MS SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit1572.613.7147%44 / 23$3.4M
Government253.254.3541%2 / 5$149K
Non-Profit203.254.3042%3 / 6$395K

Mississippi skilled nursing is 78 percent for-profit by facility count: 157 of 202 buildings, averaging 2.61 stars overall and 3.71 on staffing. The balance is 25 government, 20 non-profit. Government buildings rate highest at 3.25 stars and for-profit lowest at 2.61. The 25 government-owned buildings are a structural feature worth reading carefully: in most states these are county or hospital-district arrangements in which a public body holds the license while the real estate sits with a private party. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
50%
rated one or two stars
6
special focus / candidate

Mississippi averages 2.75 stars overall across 202 facilities and 17,496 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 85 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 100 facilities (50 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 49 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 6 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $3.9M across 109 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 45.7 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 133 of 202 buildings show a distress signal, 66 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Lee111,475
Hinds9813
Lauderdale9753
Forrest8599
Rankin8530
Harrison7869
Jackson6562
Madison5422
Market Structure
48%
run by the eight largest groups
52%
run by everyone else

The eight largest operating groups run 96 of Mississippi's 202 skilled nursing facilities, 48 percent of the state and 50 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 106 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
26,386
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
51
reporting hospitals

Mississippi's 51 reporting hospitals discharged at least 26,386 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 9,327 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis9,327
Heart failure3,675
Urinary tract infection2,456
Kidney failure2,352
Pneumonia2,027
Stroke1,955
Respiratory infection1,915
Hip & femur surgery1,283
COPD787
Hip & knee replacement609
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
ST DOMINIC-JACKSON MEMORIAL HOSPITAL · JACKSON2,39421.0%
NORTH MISSISSIPPI MEDICAL CENTER · TUPELO2,37320.6%
FORREST GENERAL HOSPITAL · HATTIESBURG2,23621.6%
MISSISSIPPI BAPTIST MEDICAL CENTER · JACKSON2,00422.8%
BAPTIST MEMORIAL HOSPITAL NORTH MS · OXFORD1,95922.8%
BAPTIST MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DESOTO · SOUTHAVEN1,72020.9%
MEMORIAL HOSPITAL AT GULFPORT · GULFPORT1,57623.7%
BMH-GOLDEN TRIANGLE · COLUMBUS1,11520.0%
MAGNOLIA REGIONAL HEALTH CENTER · CORINTH1,09221.1%
UNIVERSITY OF MISSISSIPPI MED CENTER · JACKSON1,02123.4%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
72%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.6%
average cut across the graded set

128 of Mississippi's 179 graded skilled nursing facilities (72%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.6% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
45.3%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 45.3% of Mississippi's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 6.2 points in three years. Tunica County runs highest in the state at 63.5%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Tunica County63.5%
Holmes County63.2%
Claiborne County61.5%
Jefferson County59.2%
Quitman County58.7%
Humphreys County58.4%
Hancock County57.4%
Sunflower County57.4%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Lee County with 11 facilities and 1,475 beds, Hinds County with 9 facilities and 813 beds, Lauderdale County with 9 facilities and 753 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
Active / watch
Mississippi: Reimbursement (Dec 2025)
Mississippi Division of Medicaid is moving nursing-facility reimbursement from RUG-IV to the Patient-Driven Payment Model, with the PDPM component blend effective for rate periods on or after Jan 1, 2026 (SPA effective Oct 1, 2025). The state projects a modest aggregate spending increase of ~$1.23M (FFY26) and ~$1.32M (FFY27), so it is roughly budget-neutral with winners and losers depending on each facility's case m
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Mississippi: State Budget (Mar 2026)
The legislature approved roughly $1.026B in state Medicaid funding (a 16% increase) but well short of the Division of Medicaid's requested ~$390M increase; enrollment fell to a near-decade low of 644,869. Constrained state appropriations and looming next-year shortfalls limit room for nursing-facility rate growth.
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
Mississippi: State Budget (Mar 2026)
Appropriation; Nursing Home Administrators, Board of. Last action: Approved by Governor (2026-03-25)
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
Mississippi: State Budget (Feb 2026)
Appropriation; Jefferson County for repair and renovation of the Jefferson County Nursing Home. Last action: Died In Committee (2026-02-25)
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
On the horizon
Mississippi: Tort Liability (Feb 2026)
In Manhattan Nursing and Rehabilitation Center v. Hawkins (Feb 19, 2026), the Mississippi Supreme Court held a spouse acting as healthcare surrogate cannot bind a resident to an optional arbitration agreement because, since admission was not contingent on it, signing it is not a 'health-care decision.' The ruling materially weakens SNFs' ability to enforce arbitration and increases litigation/liability exposure.
Operator implication: Liability exposure feeds insurance cost, which is now a material line in underwriting and a common reason owners decide to exit.
Rescinded
Mississippi: Con Moratorium (Jan 2026)
On Jan 30, 2026, U.S. District Judge Carlton Reeves struck down Mississippi's decades-old moratorium on new home health agencies as unconstitutional, though the broader Certificate of Need framework survived. The ruling is home-health-specific (not SNF beds) but signals erosion of Mississippi's CON/moratorium regime that has historically limited skilled-nursing bed supply and protected incumbent operators.
If a county-level Mississippi breakdown, or the ownership and capital-structure detail behind any facility in it, would be useful, a short confidential conversation is the fastest way to get it. There is no cost and no obligation, and the buyer you select covers our fee.
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. Mississippi published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 149 rated facilities, effective July 2026. A further 1 facility is excluded from the rate figures: the published file carries conflicting rates against that building on the same effective date, so we report no rate rather than pick one.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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