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Arkansas Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

Arkansas · AR · September 2026

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On the public record: occupancy, staffing, rating, straight off the source.

3G Healthcare Real Estate AR
Arkansas Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the Arkansas ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

221
facilities
24,167
licensed beds
70%
avg occupancy
41%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Context
Arkansas does not publish facility-level Medicaid daily rates in a form we have been able to obtain, so there is no per-building rate picture in the public record for this market. That absence is itself the point: without published rates most owners have no reliable way to benchmark their own building, and we maintain the comparison independently.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 221 AR SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit2003.443.2050%22 / 58$1.9M
Non-Profit113.823.8243%0 / 3$71K
Government103.673.7847%1 / 5$40K

Arkansas skilled nursing is 90 percent for-profit by facility count: 200 of 221 buildings, averaging 3.44 stars overall and 3.20 on staffing. The balance is 11 non-profit, 10 government. Non-Profit buildings rate highest at 3.82 stars and for-profit lowest at 3.44. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
24%
rated one or two stars
6
special focus / candidate

Arkansas averages 3.47 stars overall across 221 facilities and 24,167 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 70 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 53 facilities (24 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 23 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 6 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $2.0M across 70 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 49.5 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 91 of 221 buildings show a distress signal, 41 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Pulaski232,631
Benton131,421
Washington121,273
Sebastian91,063
Garland9952
Lonoke7659
Saline6883
Craighead6673
Market Structure
77%
run by the eight largest groups
23%
run by everyone else

The eight largest operating groups run 171 of Arkansas's 221 skilled nursing facilities, 77 percent of the state and 79 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 50 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
23,916
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
39
reporting hospitals

Arkansas's 39 reporting hospitals discharged at least 23,916 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 8,082 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis8,082
Heart failure3,337
Pneumonia2,436
Kidney failure2,189
Urinary tract infection2,077
Respiratory infection1,847
Stroke1,679
Hip & femur surgery1,253
COPD735
Hip & knee replacement281
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
BAPTIST HEALTH MEDICAL CENTER-LITTLE ROCK · LITTLE ROCK2,12120.1%
ST BERNARDS MEDICAL CENTER · JONESBORO1,67222.4%
MERCY HOSPITAL FORT SMITH · FORT SMITH1,59622.5%
BAPTIST HEALTH MEDICAL CENTER NORTH LITTLE ROCK · NORTH LITTLE ROCK1,51821.8%
CHI ST. VINCENT HOSPITAL HOT SPRINGS · HOT SPRINGS1,50821.3%
BAPTIST MEMORIAL HOSPITAL JONESBORO, INC. · JONESBORO1,33921.3%
WASHINGTON REGIONAL MEDICAL CENTER · FAYETTEVILLE1,14819.2%
WHITE COUNTY MEDICAL CENTER · SEARCY1,13623.3%
BAPTIST HEALTH - FORT SMITH · FORT SMITH1,08121.7%
MERCY HOSPITAL NORTHWEST ARKANSAS · ROGERS1,05621.1%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
81%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.9%
average cut across the graded set

170 of Arkansas's 209 graded skilled nursing facilities (81%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.9% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
47.2%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 47.2% of Arkansas's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 4.5 points in three years. Lee County runs highest in the state at 61.4%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Lee County61.4%
Phillips County60.6%
Madison County58.2%
St. Francis County56.7%
Mississippi County56.6%
Crawford County56.0%
Poinsett County55.3%
Chicot County54.2%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Pulaski County with 23 facilities and 2,631 beds, Benton County with 13 facilities and 1,421 beds, Washington County with 12 facilities and 1,273 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
In effect
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Staffing floors bind hardest on buildings already below the state average on hours per resident, which is where distressed sales start.
Federal: Reimbursement (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Jul 2026)
Two recent reports find that Medicare Advantage organizations deny prior authorization requests for long-term care hospital, inpatient rehabilitation hospital, and skilled nursing facility stays at higher rates than requests overall. When these decisions are appealed, they are frequently overturned, particularly for skilled nursing facility stays. This may cause delays for Medicare beneficiaries who are particularly
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Sep 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Federal: Cms Rule (Jul 2026)
Operator implication: Federal rules reach every building in the country, so the effect shows up in the same quarter across the entire portfolio.
Rescinded
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Jul 2026)
Amid changes to federal oversight of nursing homes during the Trump administration -- including rescinding the nursing home staffing rule issued by the Biden administration, prioritizing inspections that are triggered by complaints over routine inspections, and suspending the deadline to report detailed ownership information -- this issue brief provides an overview of the nursing home inspection process and the types
If a county-level Arkansas breakdown, or the ownership and capital-structure detail behind any facility in it, would be useful, a short confidential conversation is the fastest way to get it. There is no cost and no obligation, and the buyer you select covers our fee.
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. Arkansas does not publish facility-level Medicaid rates in an obtainable form; no per-facility rate data is presented for this state.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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