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New York Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

New York · NY · October 2026 · January 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate NY
New York Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
October 27, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the New York ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

593
facilities
111,413
licensed beds
89%
avg occupancy
50%
showing distress
What the Cost Reports Say · FY2024 to FY2026
Seven days in ten are Medicaid.
Every full-year Medicare cost report New York's skilled nursing facilities filed in FY2024 to FY2026, read as one set of bands: 537 reports across 58 counties. This is the table an owner puts their own filing against.
537
cost reports read across 58 counties
92.1%
median occupancy
70.0%
of the days reported by payer were Medicaid
1.4%
median net margin, 40.9% filed a loss

Seven of every ten patient days New York's skilled nursing facilities billed in FY2024 to FY2026 were Medicaid days: 70.0% of the 33,483,257 patient days on the 533 reports that break days out by payer. The median building ran 92.1% occupancy, with the middle half between 86.0% and 95.1%, on 336 reports that carry it. Patient revenue ran $425 a patient day at the median against $438 of reported operating expense, the cost report's own operating line rather than every cost a building carries. Net margin on the filings themselves was 1.4% at the median. 218 of the 533 reports that carry a bottom line filed a loss, which is 40.9% of them.

Statistic25thMedian75thReportsNational median
Census and payer mix
Occupancy
Patient days as a share of available bed days, both off Worksheet S-3 Part I.
86.0%92.1%95.1%33684.2%
Medicare share of days
Traditional Medicare days as a share of all patient days, off Worksheet S-3 Part I.
6.3%11.1%19.9%5367.7%
Medicaid share of days
Medicaid days as a share of all patient days, off Worksheet S-3 Part I.
59.3%70.8%80.6%53366.3%
Everyone else as a share of days
Patient days that are neither traditional Medicare nor Medicaid, as a share of all patient days on the same filing. Managed care sits in here.
7.8%12.9%21.0%53323.4%
Per-resident-day economics
Patient revenue per patient day
Net patient revenue off Worksheet G-3, divided by patient days off Worksheet S-3 Part I. Blended across every payer.
$350$425$506536$373
Operating expense per patient day
Total operating expense off Worksheet G-3, divided by patient days. Net income also counts income and expense outside patient care, such as investment income, rentals and donations, which is why it is not patient revenue minus this line.
$368$438$513536$372
Net income per patient day
Net income off Worksheet G-3, divided by patient days.
-$17$6$32536$14
Margin and liquidity
Net margin
Net income off Worksheet G-3 over net patient revenue off the same worksheet.
-3.9%1.4%6.9%5333.7%
Current ratio
Current assets over current liabilities on the same filing. Under 1.00 means the building owes more inside a year than it holds to pay it with.
0.570.981.645331.30
Medicaid 70.0%14.5%15.5%
Medicaid 70.0%Traditional Medicare 14.5%Everyone else 15.5%
Who paid for the daysStatewide pool, of the 33,483,257 days on the 533 reports that break days out by payerMedian facility
Medicaid70.0%70.8%
Traditional Medicare14.5%11.1%
Everyone else, including managed care15.5%12.9%
The statewide pool adds to 100 because it divides one set of days three ways. The median facility column does not, and is not meant to: every building’s own mix sums to 100, but the median Medicaid building is not the median Medicare building. Managed care is broken out separately on 390 of the state’s reports; on those 24,748,841 days Medicare Advantage is 5.2% and managed Medicaid 9.7%, and both sit inside the row above.
Urban against rural, at the medianUrban (476)Rural (61)
Occupancy92.2%91.5%
Medicaid share of days70.3%76.1%
Patient revenue per patient day$438$333
Operating expense per patient day$451$329
Net margin1.4%1.6%
Each side is ranked over its own filings, so the two columns are two medians and not a split of one. A filing CMS left unclassified is in neither column, which is why the two counts need not add to the state total.
Census is not the constraint
86% of New York buildings closed the year at 80% occupancy or better, on the 336 reports that carry occupancy, and 41% of the 533 that carry a bottom line still filed a loss.
A $145 gap per patient day
Operating cost runs $368 a patient day at the 25th percentile against $513 at the 75th, on 536 New York reports. At the median building's own year of 55,130 patient days, that gap is $8.0 million a year between a lean cost structure and a heavy one.
Margin without liquidity
The median New York filing closed on a current ratio of 0.98, on the 533 reports that carry both sides of the balance sheet, and 52% of them closed under 1.00, which means owing more inside a year than they hold to pay it with. Only 41% of the state's filings lost money on patient care, so this is a working-capital reading rather than an earnings one.
Medicare cost reports as filed, fiscal years ending 2024-12-31 to 2026-03-31, one full-year report per facility: 537 reports covering 33,548,118 patient days, of which 33,483,257 sit on the 533 reports that break days out by payer, which is what the payer table below divides by. Every line carries the number of reports behind it, and a line standing on fewer than 20 reports is not ranked. Operating expense is the cost report’s own operating line. Net income also counts income and expense outside patient care, such as investment income, rentals and donations, which is why it is not patient revenue minus that line.
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$297
New York average daily rate
$282
statewide median

New York carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $282 across 520 rated facilities, 88 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $236 and $330 a day. The distribution is wide, which is where facility class, acuity, and add-on programs are doing the work rather than a single statewide base rate. For-profit buildings run $52 a day above non-profit ones ($292 against $240 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective January 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$215
25th$236
Median (50th)$282
75th$330
90th$362
Range $161 to $2,139 across 520 rated facilities; rates effective January 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 593 NY SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit4142.952.4841%78 / 84$10.4M
Non-Profit1503.253.4439%26 / 42$2.4M
Government293.143.8339%7 / 10$835K

New York skilled nursing is 70 percent for-profit by facility count: 414 of 593 buildings, averaging 2.95 stars overall and 2.48 on staffing. The balance is 150 non-profit, 29 government. Non-Profit buildings rate highest at 3.25 stars and for-profit lowest at 2.95. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
41%
rated one or two stars
18
special focus / candidate

New York averages 3.03 stars overall across 593 facilities and 111,413 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 89 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 241 facilities (41 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 111 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 18 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $13.7M across 183 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 40.3 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 296 of 593 buildings show a distress signal, 50 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Queens5612,320
Bronx4411,836
Westchester426,704
Suffolk418,325
Kings4010,471
Nassau367,573
Erie335,310
Monroe324,927
Market Structure
24%
run by the eight largest groups
76%
run by everyone else

The eight largest operating groups run 144 of New York's 593 skilled nursing facilities, 24 percent of the state and 22 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 449 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
131,281
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
124
reporting hospitals

New York's 124 reporting hospitals discharged at least 131,281 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 50,157 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis50,157
Heart failure16,739
Urinary tract infection11,597
Respiratory infection11,216
Pneumonia10,269
Kidney failure8,108
Stroke7,577
Hip & knee replacement6,696
Hip & femur surgery4,957
COPD3,965
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
NYU LANGONE HOSPITALS · NEW YORK8,15618.7%
NEW YORK-PRESBYTERIAN HOSPITAL · NEW YORK7,87620.4%
SUNY/STONY BROOK UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL · STONY BROOK4,54022.1%
NORTH SHORE UNIVERSITY HOSPITAL · MANHASSET3,89421.7%
LONG ISLAND JEWISH MEDICAL CENTER · NEW HYDE PARK3,69520.4%
ST FRANCIS HOSPITAL - THE HEART CENTER · ROSLYN3,09718.5%
MONTEFIORE MEDICAL CENTER · BRONX2,99521.8%
WHITE PLAINS HOSPITAL CENTER · WHITE PLAINS2,67420.5%
MOUNT SINAI SOUTH NASSAU · OCEANSIDE2,64622.6%
MAIMONIDES MEDICAL CENTER · BROOKLYN2,63523.1%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
76%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.7%
average cut across the graded set

445 of New York's 586 graded skilled nursing facilities (76%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.7% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
53.6%
of the state's Medicare population is in Medicare Advantage plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 53.6% of New York's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 3.6 points in three years. Monroe County runs highest in the state at 76.8%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Monroe County76.8%
Livingston County73.4%
Ontario County72.9%
Wayne County72.8%
Niagara County72.8%
Orleans County71.9%
Erie County71.5%
Bronx County71.2%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Queens County with 56 facilities and 12,320 beds, Bronx County with 44 facilities and 11,836 beds, Westchester County with 42 facilities and 6,704 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
Active / watch
New York: Medicaid Expansion (Aug 2026)
Relates to the dissemination of information pertaining to individuals suffering from Alzheimer's disease and other forms of dementia through the NY Connects: Choices for Long Term Care program. Last action: signed chap.234 (2026-08-19)
Operator implication: Coverage changes move the payer mix, and payer mix drives the revenue per occupied bed a buyer will underwrite.
New York: Medicaid Expansion (Jun 2026)
Permits individuals receiving hospice services to enroll in managed long term care plans; ensures coordinated service delivery. Last action: COMMITTED TO RULES (2026-06-05)
Operator implication: Coverage changes move the payer mix, and payer mix drives the revenue per occupied bed a buyer will underwrite.
New York: Medicaid Expansion (Jun 2026)
Relates to the dissemination of information pertaining to individuals suffering from Alzheimer's disease and other forms of dementia through the NY Connects: Choices for Long Term Care program. Last action: SUBSTITUTED BY A4195A (2026-06-04)
Operator implication: Coverage changes move the payer mix, and payer mix drives the revenue per occupied bed a buyer will underwrite.
New York: Medicaid Expansion (May 2026)
Establishes the adult care facility voucher demonstration program for persons with dementia, Alzheimer's diagnosis, or other cognitive impairments to provide a sliding-scale subsidy for adult care facility residents who are at risk of losing nursing home care due to depleted resources and to individuals who are not eligible for Medicaid or supplemental security income, but in need of adult day care services. Last act
Operator implication: Coverage changes move the payer mix, and payer mix drives the revenue per occupied bed a buyer will underwrite. This one moves in the operator's favour.
New York: Medicaid Expansion (Apr 2026)
Establishes the adult care facility voucher demonstration program for persons with dementia, Alzheimer's diagnosis, or other cognitive impairments to provide a sliding-scale subsidy for adult care facility residents who are at risk of losing nursing home care due to depleted resources and to individuals who are not eligible for Medicaid or supplemental security income, but in need of adult day care services. Last act
Operator implication: Coverage changes move the payer mix, and payer mix drives the revenue per occupied bed a buyer will underwrite. This one moves in the operator's favour.
New York: Medicaid Expansion (Feb 2026)
Permits individuals receiving hospice services to enroll in managed long term care plans; ensures coordinated service delivery. Last action: referred to health (2026-02-20)
Operator implication: Coverage changes move the payer mix, and payer mix drives the revenue per occupied bed a buyer will underwrite.
If a county-level New York breakdown, or the ownership and capital-structure detail behind any facility in it, would be useful, a short confidential conversation is the fastest way to get it. There is no cost and no obligation, and the buyer you select covers our fee.
Start a Confidential Conversation
Christian Patrick
President
317.493.7767
[email protected]
Stan Klos III
Founder
813.562.7780 (c) · 317.982.5106 (o)
[email protected]
3G Healthcare Real Estate · 3ghcre.com
Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors
Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-09-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. New York published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 520 rated facilities, effective January 2026. A further 5 facilities are excluded from the rate figures: the published file carries conflicting rates against those buildings on the same effective date, so we report no rate rather than pick one.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
  11. Medicare cost reports (CMS HCRIS), FY2024 to FY2026: 537 filings from 537 New York skilled nursing facilities, one full-year report each, loaded 2026-10-06. Occupancy, patient days by payer, patient revenue, operating expense and net income as each facility filed them.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

3G Healthcare Real Estate, 456 N. Meridian St #441332, Indianapolis, IN 46204.

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