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Pennsylvania Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

Pennsylvania · PA · September 2026 · April 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate PA
Pennsylvania Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the Pennsylvania ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

656
facilities
83,064
licensed beds
82%
avg occupancy
58%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$309
Pennsylvania average daily rate
$303
statewide median

Pennsylvania carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $303 across 542 rated facilities, 83 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $288 and $321 a day. The distribution is tight, which usually means a cost-capped methodology holding most buildings in a band. Non-profit buildings run $3 a day above for-profit ones ($305 against $302 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective April 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$275
25th$288
Median (50th)$303
75th$321
90th$336
Range $234 to $587 across 542 rated facilities; rates effective April 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 656 PA SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit4122.422.3549%128 / 38$13.9M
Non-Profit2233.954.1737%9 / 112$2.3M
Government213.384.1939%3 / 6$601K

Pennsylvania skilled nursing is 63 percent for-profit by facility count: 412 of 656 buildings, averaging 2.42 stars overall and 2.35 on staffing. The balance is 223 non-profit, 21 government. Non-Profit buildings rate highest at 3.95 stars and for-profit lowest at 2.42. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
43%
rated one or two stars
24
special focus / candidate

Pennsylvania averages 2.98 stars overall across 656 facilities and 83,064 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 82 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 281 facilities (43 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 140 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 24 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $16.9M across 284 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 44.5 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 379 of 656 buildings show a distress signal, 58 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Montgomery586,984
Allegheny526,790
Philadelphia466,888
Lancaster313,984
Bucks293,245
Delaware284,015
Luzerne222,568
Chester202,461
Market Structure
24%
run by the eight largest groups
76%
run by everyone else

The eight largest operating groups run 158 of Pennsylvania's 656 skilled nursing facilities, 24 percent of the state and 25 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 498 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
88,835
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
124
reporting hospitals

Pennsylvania's 124 reporting hospitals discharged at least 88,835 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 28,030 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis28,030
Heart failure15,639
Pneumonia7,492
Respiratory infection7,459
Urinary tract infection7,377
Kidney failure7,055
Stroke6,135
Hip & knee replacement3,581
Hip & femur surgery3,312
COPD2,755
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
LEHIGH VALLEY HOSPITAL · ALLENTOWN4,31122.9%
JEFFERSON ABINGTON HOSPITAL · ABINGTON2,85922.6%
READING HOSPITAL · WEST READING2,66324.1%
WELLSPAN YORK HOSPITAL · YORK2,05021.3%
LANCASTER GENERAL HOSPITAL · LANCASTER2,04319.2%
PAOLI HOSPITAL · PAOLI2,01621.7%
UPMC PINNACLE HOSPITALS · HARRISBURG2,00122.1%
JEFFERSON HEALTH- NORTHEAST · PHILADELPHIA1,94623.2%
CHESTER COUNTY HOSPITAL · WEST CHESTER1,85018.3%
ST LUKES HOSPITAL · BETHLEHEM1,84524.4%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
73%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.6%
average cut across the graded set

468 of Pennsylvania's 641 graded skilled nursing facilities (73%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.6% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
54.6%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 54.6% of Pennsylvania's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 3.6 points in three years. Cambria County runs highest in the state at 76.6%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Cambria County76.6%
Indiana County76.3%
Armstrong County75.8%
Lawrence County71.9%
Westmoreland County71.8%
Beaver County71.6%
Somerset County70.8%
Greene County70.1%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Montgomery County with 58 facilities and 6,984 beds, Allegheny County with 52 facilities and 6,790 beds, Philadelphia County with 46 facilities and 6,888 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
In effect
Pennsylvania: Reimbursement (Jul 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Pennsylvania: Reimbursement (Jun 2026)
Pennsylvania is transitioning its Medicaid nursing-facility case-mix methodology to a modified, nursing-component-only PDPM model, with May 1 and August 1, 2025 picture dates expected to feed calendar-year 2026 rates. The shift changes how acuity drives reimbursement and creates winners and losers among facilities depending on their resident mix.
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Active / watch
Pennsylvania: Medicaid Rate (Apr 2026)
The 2026 State of Pennsylvania Nursing Homes Report documents that PA has lost 37 facilities and 4,318 certified beds since 2020, with 49% of providers declining hospital admissions in the prior 90 days and inadequate Medicaid funding cited as the leading cause of reduced capacity. LeadingAge PA is requesting a 0.84 BAF floor and roughly $274 million in annualized state investment for FY 2026-27.
Operator implication: Reimbursement is the single largest line in a nursing facility's revenue, so a rate move of any size resets valuation across the whole state.
Pennsylvania: Medicaid Rate (Apr 2026)
The BAF, a cost-control formula that pays PA nursing facilities only ~77-80 cents per dollar of audited care costs, expires June 30, 2026 without legislative action, and providers are pressing lawmakers for a stable funding floor (e.g., 90% of cost) instead of a quiet three-year reauthorization. A Lehigh County facility reported losing an estimated $125 per resident per day in Q1 2026 under the current formula.
Operator implication: Reimbursement is the single largest line in a nursing facility's revenue, so a rate move of any size resets valuation across the whole state.
Pennsylvania: State Budget (Jul 2026)
Nursing homes got a slight boost under the latest state budget, but say more support is needed for the critical industry.
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Pennsylvania: Cms Rule (Jun 2026)
The PA Department of Health is rolling out proposed SNF regulations in four packages; the third package (published March 19, 2026) expands the ownership, financial, staffing, operating-budget, and regulatory-history information applicants must disclose to open a facility or take ownership of an existing one (a CHOW burden), and a forthcoming final package will address resident rights and staffing ratios. PA's ~685 SN
Operator implication: Federal rules reach every building in the country, so the effect shows up in the same quarter across the entire portfolio.
If a county-level Pennsylvania breakdown, or the ownership and capital-structure detail behind any facility in it, would be useful, a short confidential conversation is the fastest way to get it. There is no cost and no obligation, and the buyer you select covers our fee.
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. Pennsylvania published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 542 rated facilities, effective April 2026. A further 11 facilities are excluded from the rate figures: the published file carries conflicting rates against those buildings on the same effective date, so we report no rate rather than pick one.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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