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Oklahoma Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

Oklahoma · OK · September 2026 · July 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate OK
Oklahoma Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the Oklahoma ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

283
facilities
27,475
licensed beds
63%
avg occupancy
65%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$247
Oklahoma average daily rate
$246
statewide median

Oklahoma carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $246 across 236 rated facilities, 83 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $240 and $253 a day. The distribution is tight, which usually means a cost-capped methodology holding most buildings in a band. Government buildings run $17 a day above for-profit ones ($262 against $245 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective July 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$235
25th$240
Median (50th)$246
75th$253
90th$262
Range $225 to $262 across 236 rated facilities; rates effective July 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 283 OK SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit2512.632.5855%75 / 30$5.5M
Non-Profit272.893.0457%6 / 5$433K
Government53.202.2055%0 / 1$33K

Oklahoma skilled nursing is 89 percent for-profit by facility count: 251 of 283 buildings, averaging 2.63 stars overall and 2.58 on staffing. The balance is 27 non-profit, 5 government. Government buildings rate highest at 3.20 stars and for-profit lowest at 2.63. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
50%
rated one or two stars
12
special focus / candidate

Oklahoma averages 2.67 stars overall across 283 facilities and 27,475 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 63 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 141 facilities (50 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 81 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 12 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $6.0M across 146 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 55.5 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 185 of 283 buildings show a distress signal, 65 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Oklahoma404,366
Tulsa333,790
Cleveland10991
Muskogee10864
Creek7709
Garfield6648
Pottawatomie6648
Le Flore6552
Market Structure
38%
run by the eight largest groups
62%
run by everyone else

The eight largest operating groups run 108 of Oklahoma's 283 skilled nursing facilities, 38 percent of the state and 42 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 175 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
31,455
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
63
reporting hospitals

Oklahoma's 63 reporting hospitals discharged at least 31,455 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 10,776 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis10,776
Heart failure4,233
Urinary tract infection2,968
Pneumonia2,872
Kidney failure2,836
Respiratory infection2,622
Stroke1,902
Hip & femur surgery1,542
Hip & knee replacement998
COPD706
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
SAINT FRANCIS HOSPITAL, INC · TULSA2,82620.8%
MERCY HOSPITAL OKLAHOMA CITY, INC · OKLAHOMA CITY2,06520.3%
INTEGRIS BAPTIST MEDICAL CENTER, INC · OKLAHOMA CITY1,97921.0%
MEMORIAL HEALTH · LAWTON1,66122.4%
NORMAN REGIONAL · NORMAN1,54422.5%
ASCENSION ST JOHN MEDICAL CENTER · TULSA1,50321.5%
SAINT FRANCIS HOSPITAL MUSKOGEE · MUSKOGEE1,43424.7%
O U MEDICAL CENTER · OKLAHOMA CITY1,36221.0%
SSM HEALTH ST ANTHONY HOSPITAL - OKLAHOMA CITY · OKLAHOMA CITY1,25619.7%
HILLCREST MEDICAL CENTER · TULSA1,21320.0%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
84%
of graded facilities are cut this year
1.0%
average cut across the graded set

207 of Oklahoma's 246 graded skilled nursing facilities (84%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 1.0% cut across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
42.5%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 42.5% of Oklahoma's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 4.6 points in three years. Creek County runs highest in the state at 57.2%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Creek County57.2%
Tulsa County52.1%
Wagoner County51.3%
Okmulgee County50.9%
Rogers County49.6%
Osage County48.7%
Seminole County48.6%
Mayes County48.2%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Oklahoma County with 40 facilities and 4,366 beds, Tulsa County with 33 facilities and 3,790 beds, Cleveland County with 10 facilities and 991 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
In effect
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Staffing floors bind hardest on buildings already below the state average on hours per resident, which is where distressed sales start.
Federal: Reimbursement (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Jul 2026)
Two recent reports find that Medicare Advantage organizations deny prior authorization requests for long-term care hospital, inpatient rehabilitation hospital, and skilled nursing facility stays at higher rates than requests overall. When these decisions are appealed, they are frequently overturned, particularly for skilled nursing facility stays. This may cause delays for Medicare beneficiaries who are particularly
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Sep 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Active / watch
Oklahoma: State Budget (Feb 2026)
Long-term care; Options Counseling for Long-term Care Revolving Fund; purpose; effective date; emergency. Last action: Recommendation to the full committee; Do Pass Appropriations and Budget Human Services Subcommittee (2026-02-09)
Operator implication: Budget language sets the reimbursement envelope for the following rate year, so it is the earliest reliable signal of where rates are heading.
Rescinded
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Jul 2026)
Amid changes to federal oversight of nursing homes during the Trump administration -- including rescinding the nursing home staffing rule issued by the Biden administration, prioritizing inspections that are triggered by complaints over routine inspections, and suspending the deadline to report detailed ownership information -- this issue brief provides an overview of the nursing home inspection process and the types
If a county-level Oklahoma breakdown, or the ownership and capital-structure detail behind any facility in it, would be useful, a short confidential conversation is the fastest way to get it. There is no cost and no obligation, and the buyer you select covers our fee.
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. Oklahoma published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 236 rated facilities, effective July 2026.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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