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Hawaii Skilled Nursing - Market Intelligence

Hawaii · HI · September 2026 · January 2026 rate file

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3G Healthcare Real Estate HI
Hawaii Skilled Nursing: Market Intelligence Report
September 8, 2026  ·  Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · Since 2014

3G Healthcare Real Estate is a sell-side advisory firm working only in skilled nursing facility real estate. This report is the Hawaii ownership and operating picture as we track it, drawn from CMS Provider Information, federal ownership filings, county property records, published Medicaid rate files, and our own resolution work.

Every figure below describes the market in aggregate; nothing here is specific to any single owner or property.

43
facilities
4,248
licensed beds
81%
avg occupancy
56%
showing distress
Medicaid Rate Snapshot
$496
Hawaii average daily rate
$495
statewide median

Hawaii carries a median Medicaid daily rate of $495 across 32 rated facilities, 74 percent of the buildings we track in the state, with the middle half of the market between $482 and $518 a day. The distribution is tight, which usually means a cost-capped methodology holding most buildings in a band. For-profit buildings run $8 a day above non-profit ones ($509 against $501 at the median), a gap that reflects the class each sits in rather than the quality of the building. Rates are effective January 2026.

PercentileMedicaid daily rate
10th$458
25th$482
Median (50th)$495
75th$518
90th$538
Range $390 to $554 across 32 rated facilities; rates effective January 2026.
CMS Ownership Analytics · 43 HI SNFs
OwnershipFacilitiesAvg ★Staffing ★Nurse turnover1★ / 5★CMS fines
For-Profit263.364.3239%2 / 7$529K
Non-Profit94.114.7836%1 / 5$298K
Government84.294.8626%0 / 4$56K

Hawaii skilled nursing is 60 percent for-profit by facility count: 26 of 43 buildings, averaging 3.36 stars overall and 4.32 on staffing. The balance is 9 non-profit, 8 government. Government buildings rate highest at 4.29 stars and for-profit lowest at 3.36. The 8 government-owned buildings are a structural feature worth reading carefully: in most states these are county or hospital-district arrangements in which a public body holds the license while the real estate sits with a private party. Ownership type as CMS records it describes the license holder. The real estate behind it is frequently a different party, and that is the layer we resolve.

Quality, Staffing & Distress Signals
23%
rated one or two stars
6
special focus / candidate

Hawaii averages 3.68 stars overall across 43 facilities and 4,248 licensed beds. Average occupancy runs 81 percent, which is the number that decides whether a building services its debt. Quality splits at the bottom: 10 facilities (23 percent) rate one or two stars overall, 3 of them one star. Special Focus status or candidacy covers 6 of them. CMS fines on the current record total $884K across 23 facilities. Total nurse turnover averages 36.4 percent. Counting any facility that carries at least one of a one- or two-star overall rating, Special Focus status or candidacy, CMS fines on the current record, or a distressed-title flag from county records, 24 of 43 buildings show a distress signal, 56 percent of the total.

Where the Beds Are
CountyFacilitiesLicensed beds
Honolulu272,679
Hawaii7779
Kauai5333
Maui4457
Market Structure
37%
run by the three largest groups
63%
run by everyone else

The three largest operating groups run 16 of Hawaii's 43 skilled nursing facilities, 37 percent of the state and 42 percent of its licensed beds. The remaining 27 buildings are spread across a long tail of smaller operators and independents.

Operating scale is not the same as real-estate ownership, and in most markets the two are separate. The property behind these portfolios is held across a far larger and more fragmented set of owners, many of them holding a single building outright. That is the layer we resolve, and it is why a market that looks consolidated from the operating side is usually anything but from the ownership side.

Hospital Discharge Demand
5,586
SNF-relevant discharges (minimum)
11
reporting hospitals

Hawaii's 11 reporting hospitals discharged at least 5,586 traditional-Medicare inpatients in the diagnosis groups that most often need skilled care afterward, in federal fiscal 2024. Sepsis leads at 2,104 discharges. Every one of these patients needed a next setting, and the facilities positioned closest to the highest-volume hospitals see that demand first.

ConditionDischarges (at least)
Sepsis2,104
Heart failure745
Respiratory infection672
Stroke610
Pneumonia556
Urinary tract infection248
Hip & femur surgery225
Kidney failure219
Hip & knee replacement114
COPD93
HospitalSNF-relevant discharges30-day HF readmissions
THE QUEENS MEDICAL CENTER · HONOLULU1,97021.2%
HILO BENIOFF MEDICAL CENTER · HILO63522.5%
STRAUB CLINIC AND HOSPITAL · HONOLULU61021.2%
PALI MOMI MEDICAL CENTER · AIEA54220.8%
MAUI MEMORIAL MEDICAL CENTER · WAILUKU41919.0%
ADVENTIST HEALTH CASTLE · KAILUA39621.2%
KUAKINI MEDICAL CENTER · HONOLULU39221.4%
KAISER FOUNDATION HOSPITAL · HONOLULU21920.2%
WILCOX MEMORIAL HOSPITAL · LIHUE17121.2%
KONA COMMUNITY HOSPITAL · KEALAKEKUA13720.1%
Traditional Medicare discharges, federal fiscal 2024, in the diagnosis groups that most often discharge to skilled care. CMS withholds any line under 11 discharges, so every figure is a minimum. Readmission rates: CMS Care Compare, three-year window; n/a means CMS reports too few cases.
Medicare Readmission Penalty
33%
of graded facilities are cut this year
0.6%
average raise across the graded set

13 of Hawaii's 39 graded skilled nursing facilities (33%) are taking a live Medicare payment cut this federal fiscal year under CMS's SNF Value-Based Purchasing program, which blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover into one multiplier and applies it to every Medicare day a building bills. The graded set averages a 0.6% raise across the whole state. A federal number like that says little read alone, which is why we check it against the fuller financial and operational record we hold on every building before it reaches a report: the buildings already under pressure elsewhere are the ones a payment cut actually threatens.

CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing, FY2026 determination, published February 2026. The multiplier blends readmissions, infections, staffing and turnover and applies to every Medicare day a facility bills; below 1.0 is a live payment cut, not a one-time fine.
Medicare Advantage Penetration
53.5%
of the state's Medicare population is in MA plans

Medicare Advantage now covers 53.5% of Hawaii's Medicare population, as of April 2026. That is up 0.7 points in three years. Maui County runs highest in the state at 56.6%. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so the counties at the top of that list are the ones structurally losing SNF days first, whatever the raw discharge count says.

CountyMedicare Advantage share
Maui County56.6%
Honolulu County54.5%
Kauai County49.2%
Hawaii County48.8%
CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment, county grain, April 2026. An MA member typically draws fewer skilled-nursing days per admission than traditional Medicare, so a rising share is a structural headwind on SNF demand, not a one-quarter blip.
Market Observations

Beds concentrate where the population does: Honolulu County with 27 facilities and 2,679 beds, Hawaii County with 7 facilities and 779 beds, Kauai County with 5 facilities and 333 beds.

Legislative & Regulatory Watch
In effect
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Staffing floors bind hardest on buildings already below the state average on hours per resident, which is where distressed sales start.
Federal: Reimbursement (Aug 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Jul 2026)
Two recent reports find that Medicare Advantage organizations deny prior authorization requests for long-term care hospital, inpatient rehabilitation hospital, and skilled nursing facility stays at higher rates than requests overall. When these decisions are appealed, they are frequently overturned, particularly for skilled nursing facility stays. This may cause delays for Medicare beneficiaries who are particularly
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter.
Federal: Reimbursement (Sep 2026)
Operator implication: Payment policy changes reach every building in the state, and the effect on a thin-margin operator arrives within a quarter. This one moves in the operator's favour.
Federal: Cms Rule (Jul 2026)
Operator implication: Federal rules reach every building in the country, so the effect shows up in the same quarter across the entire portfolio.
Rescinded
Federal: Staffing Mandate (Jul 2026)
Amid changes to federal oversight of nursing homes during the Trump administration -- including rescinding the nursing home staffing rule issued by the Biden administration, prioritizing inspections that are triggered by complaints over routine inspections, and suspending the deadline to report detailed ownership information -- this issue brief provides an overview of the nursing home inspection process and the types
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Sources
  1. CMS Provider Information / Care Compare: facility counts, licensed beds, occupancy, Five-Star ratings, staffing, nurse turnover, fines and Special Focus status, processed 2026-07-01.
  2. CMS Payroll-Based Journal: nurse staffing hours and turnover.
  3. Federal ownership filings: PECOS Form 855A indirect-owner tree and HCRIS cost-report related parties.
  4. County property and mortgage records via the 3G real-estate-ownership resolution layer.
  5. 3G Healthcare Real Estate proprietary warehouse, resolved as of the date shown above.
  6. Hawaii published Medicaid nursing-facility rate files: 32 rated facilities, effective January 2026.
  7. State and federal legislative and regulatory tracking via the 3G intelligence scan, with the source for each item linked in that section.
  8. CMS Medicare inpatient claims (fiscal 2024): hospital discharge volumes by diagnosis group, traditional Medicare only; CMS withholds lines under 11 discharges, so volumes are minimums. Readmission rates from CMS Care Compare's three-year measure window.
  9. CMS SNF Value-Based Purchasing facility-level file, FY2026 determination (published February 2026): readmission, infection, staffing and turnover measures rolled into one Medicare payment multiplier per facility.
  10. CMS Medicare Monthly Enrollment: Medicare Advantage penetration by county, April 2026.
3G Healthcare Real Estate · Exclusively SNF Sell-Side Advisors · SNFRadar Intelligence
3G Healthcare Real Estate is a brokerage firm specializing exclusively in skilled nursing facility real estate. We do not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

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